You've got it. The big cities are heavily weighted in favour of the LPC by virtue of their population. It is somewhat similar to the Electoral College system in the U.S. where the more populous states in the east and on the west coast decide the Presidency. In 2024 there was a major shift and the Electoral College votes went to President Trump.
The Presidency is decided state by state vote, unlike Congressional elections. In the U.S.the President is the head of the Executive branch with Congress along with the Judiciary actin as a check and balance on Executive powers of the President. In Canada, Executive power is vested in the PM through the Privy Council. There is an un-elected Senate that can review and suggest amendments to legislation, but are virtually powerless to stop the PM who wields far more power than any American President.
Never underestimate the power of habit over logic. Also, a significant number of voters will cast their ballots based on a single issue or for superficial reasons. Worse, lack of critical thinking and media bias can obfuscate important electoral decisions. If all this falls under stupidity, then yes, it's possible.
Under our Westminster model, election wins are decided by whichever party wins a majority or plurality of Parliamentary seats held, not by the popular vote. It's called "first past the post". This is due to the fact that there are more than two political parties contesting elections in each electoral district (riding) in Canada. When no party holds a majority of seats, the one with the most seats attempts to get the support of one (or two if needed) other parties in order to attempt to form a government. Trudeau promised in 2015 that he would eliminate the FPTP system but when he won a majority, he flipped. After coming back with a minority and falling on a confidence vote, he called another election in 2019 and got another minority. He then signed a supply and confidence agreement with the NDP, a de facto coalition that enabled him to stay in power in exchange for agreeing to pass certain demands by Singh and the NDP.
Canada is short of nothing but stupidity. See how many ppl buy in merely a new face other than JT? See how many ppl whining and screaming together with Trump, which ironically has the same mindset except at the opposite side of the coin?
I felt for the past year the LPC would win another election. MSM, Atlantic provinces, large urban centers in Ontario, Quebec & BC can all be bought with some Trudeau/ Carney hocus pocus announcements.
The biggest concern is an apathetic voter. Since the US primaries we've been inundated with fear mongering. Then all the municipal & federal elections the past year plus. And the left does better at getting the vote out.
Right of centre friends, relatives, acquaintances have thrown in the towel. Safe supply, alphabet people, trans ludicrousy, UNDRIP victim industry, collapse of needed infrastructure work, excessive growth of personal & wages in the public sector!
For 25 years we've wondered how far left the pendulum has to swing? I guess with 4 or more years with Carney we'll find out.
I will 100% vote Consevative.
How could the Conservatives get the most votes but lose the election? is this because of ridings?
However, I don't believe the majority of Canadians are THAT stupid...
Big city urbanites where the seat count is, think milk & eggs are produced at Safeway! They're gullible to keep voting LPC
I call them citiots = city-idiots.
You've got it. The big cities are heavily weighted in favour of the LPC by virtue of their population. It is somewhat similar to the Electoral College system in the U.S. where the more populous states in the east and on the west coast decide the Presidency. In 2024 there was a major shift and the Electoral College votes went to President Trump.
The Presidency is decided state by state vote, unlike Congressional elections. In the U.S.the President is the head of the Executive branch with Congress along with the Judiciary actin as a check and balance on Executive powers of the President. In Canada, Executive power is vested in the PM through the Privy Council. There is an un-elected Senate that can review and suggest amendments to legislation, but are virtually powerless to stop the PM who wields far more power than any American President.
Never underestimate the power of habit over logic. Also, a significant number of voters will cast their ballots based on a single issue or for superficial reasons. Worse, lack of critical thinking and media bias can obfuscate important electoral decisions. If all this falls under stupidity, then yes, it's possible.
Under our Westminster model, election wins are decided by whichever party wins a majority or plurality of Parliamentary seats held, not by the popular vote. It's called "first past the post". This is due to the fact that there are more than two political parties contesting elections in each electoral district (riding) in Canada. When no party holds a majority of seats, the one with the most seats attempts to get the support of one (or two if needed) other parties in order to attempt to form a government. Trudeau promised in 2015 that he would eliminate the FPTP system but when he won a majority, he flipped. After coming back with a minority and falling on a confidence vote, he called another election in 2019 and got another minority. He then signed a supply and confidence agreement with the NDP, a de facto coalition that enabled him to stay in power in exchange for agreeing to pass certain demands by Singh and the NDP.
Thanks. I thought it had to do with seats but just wanted to be sure.
The covid scam-demic should me that there are indeed THAT many stupid Canadians. Lord help us.
Canada is short of nothing but stupidity. See how many ppl buy in merely a new face other than JT? See how many ppl whining and screaming together with Trump, which ironically has the same mindset except at the opposite side of the coin?
Great idea. I’m a subscriber and I didn’t receive the poll referenced in this article.
100% Conservative
Love this move 👍
Praying against all corruption of the media 🙏
Keep up the great work 👏
im in but i havent seen 1 poll ??? so im hoping to be asked soon
Looking forward to seeing your empirical data and demographics.
I felt for the past year the LPC would win another election. MSM, Atlantic provinces, large urban centers in Ontario, Quebec & BC can all be bought with some Trudeau/ Carney hocus pocus announcements.
The biggest concern is an apathetic voter. Since the US primaries we've been inundated with fear mongering. Then all the municipal & federal elections the past year plus. And the left does better at getting the vote out.
Right of centre friends, relatives, acquaintances have thrown in the towel. Safe supply, alphabet people, trans ludicrousy, UNDRIP victim industry, collapse of needed infrastructure work, excessive growth of personal & wages in the public sector!
For 25 years we've wondered how far left the pendulum has to swing? I guess with 4 or more years with Carney we'll find out.
IF the Liberals do win, Canada will not last another 4 years..and they will not be peaceful years..
Candice, I’m a big supporter and want you to succeed and want to support Juno, BUT what happened to True North and my subscription fees for it ?
Without a doubt, we should have a majority Conservative gov....but will the corruption and interference allow this?
Here are the current betting odds for the upcoming Canadian Federal election in percentages:
- **Conservative Party**: Approximately 63.64% to 81.82% implied probability across different sources[4][10].
- **Liberal Party**: Approximately 26.67% to 44.44% implied probability[4][9].
- **New Democratic Party**: Approximately 0.66% to 1.96% implied probability[4][9].
- **Bloc Québécois**: Approximately 0.66% to 1.49% implied probability[4][9].
- **Green Party**: Approximately 0.17% to 0.50% implied probability[4][9].
- **People's Party of Canada**: Approximately 0.10% to 0.50% implied probability[4][9].
Risky undertaking! 👍😊
I find it rather odd that the pollsters at 338CANADA never mention this EXTREMELY OBVIOUS TREND ...
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https://rocanada.substack.com/p/the-rural-urban-split-in-canada?r=xbq8f
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we know what they are doing with these polls they are showing the results true or not to sofen the country up for the theft of the election