Juno News: Polls

Have your say: Pierre Poilievre's leadership review

Sat, 19 Jul 2025 14:33:44 GMT

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre will face a leadership review vote in January during the party’s next national convention, in Calgary.

An official date has not yet been finalized.

Delegates will vote on whether to keep Pierre on as leader, or to kick him out and begin a new leadership race – the party’s fourth in the last decade.

It will be the first…

Key Swing Riding Profiles: Newmarket-Aurora and Brome-Missisquoi

David Murray — Sat, 26 Apr 2025 00:09:06 GMT

Jennifer McLachlan (LPC), Sandra Cobena (CPC)

Newmarket-Aurora

Newmarket-Aurora is the sort of swing seat that both the Liberals and Conservatives need to win government.

These are the ridings Pierre Poilievre MUST WIN to defeat Mark Carney

Candice Malcolm — Fri, 25 Apr 2025 13:46:29 GMT

On today’s episode of the Candice Malcolm Show, Candice is joined by political commentator Wyatt Claypool and pollster David Murray.

Why I believe the polls are WRONG and that Pierre Poilievre is WINNING heading into the final weekend of the campaign

Candice Malcolm — Fri, 25 Apr 2025 00:18:17 GMT

One of Canada's top pollsters just CHANGED HIS MODEL to reflect the fact that Juno News' Polls are more accurate and that Pierre Poilievre is actually in the lead.

Key Swing Riding Profiles: Trois-Rivières and Hamilton Centre

David Murray — Thu, 24 Apr 2025 18:07:05 GMT

Caroline Desrochers (LPC), René Villemure (BQ), Yves Levesque (CPC)

Trois-Rivières

This seat is made up of the core part of the City of Trois-Rivieres and is a genuine three-way fight. In the last election the Bloc Quebecois MP won by less than a 100 votes. The Conservatives were a very close second and the Liberals were only 400 votes further behind.

Canada’s TOP pollster says the POLLS ARE WRONG

Candice Malcolm — Wed, 23 Apr 2025 22:11:26 GMT

Canada’s top pollster David Coletto of Abacus Data recently revealed why he believes the polls are wrong and have been wrong throughout the entire election campaign.

Candice Malcolm and David Murray discuss the reasons why Coletto believes this, and why they both agree.

Later in the segment, David walks us through the latest and final installment of Juno Polls — where the Liberals and Conservatives are tied 39-39. For context, Justin Trudeau won the last two elections with 33% of the vote. Even in 2015 when he won a majority government, he only had 39% of the vote.

Read the full report here:

EXCLUSIVE POLL: Conservatives SURGE in final week, now tied with Liberals 39-39

Candice Malcolm — Wed, 23 Apr 2025 20:27:01 GMT

Key Swing Riding Profile: Edmonton Centre

David Murray — Wed, 23 Apr 2025 00:38:01 GMT

Sayid Ahmed (CPC), Eleanor Olszewski (LPC)

Edmonton Centre is a seat that seesaws between the Conservatives and the Liberals. It’s usually a pretty close fight, and this time looks no different.

Key Swing Riding Profile: Kitchener—Conestoga

David Murray — Mon, 21 Apr 2025 17:53:53 GMT

Doug Treleaven (CPC), Tim Louis (LPC)

This is a classic swing seat that the Conservatives must win if they hope to form a government.

Key Swing Riding Profile: Nepean

David Murray — Fri, 11 Apr 2025 20:45:45 GMT

Barbara Bal (CPC), Mark Carney (LPC)

Nepean is about to become one of the most famous ridings in Canada. Why? Because Mark Carney has decided that his first time standing for the House of Commons will take place in this suburban Ottawa seat.

NEW EXCLUSIVE POLL: Poilievre gaining ground and breaking through

Candice Malcolm — Wed, 09 Apr 2025 15:06:47 GMT

Since the last Juno Poll we’ve seen some meaningful movement in the numbers, both in key regions and demographics.

Swing Riding Profile: Miramichi Grand Lake

David Murray — Sat, 05 Apr 2025 18:14:40 GMT

Lisa Harris (Liberal Party) and Mike Dawson (Conservative Party)

Miramichi – Grand Lake has a quirky electoral history which makes it difficult to predict the winner. It’s a mostly rural anglophone seat in New Brunswick with a history of voting Liberal, and of breakaway right of centre movements.

EXCLUSIVE POLL: Cracks appear in the Liberal lead as Carney’s scandals take their toll

Candice Malcolm — Thu, 03 Apr 2025 14:55:47 GMT

Since the last Juno Poll, the national ballot numbers are essentially unchanged but cracks are starting to emerge in Canada’s impression of Mark Carney and the Liberal Party as a result of the Liberal leader’s multiple scandals.

Signs the polls may be WRONG

Candice Malcolm — Tue, 01 Apr 2025 17:45:12 GMT

Juno News and has teamed up with ONE Persuasion to conduct in-depth national polling during the election. We usually keep these videos behind the paywall, but our episode this week is so important that I want everyone to see it.

ONE’s polling method confirms what the other pollsters are saying about the election: that traditional polling shows the Liberals with a sizable lead and are in Majority Government territory.

BUT, Juno News’ proprietary question shows a STARK difference.

When asked who your neighbours are voting for, suddenly the Liberal lead completely disappears. In fact, our neighbour polls show the CONSERVATIVES with a four point lead.

This, plus a few more important clues point to perhaps a silent Conservative lead.

On today’s episode of The Candice Malcolm Show, Candice is joined by pollster David Murray for a deep dive into the numbers. WATCH the full episode HERE:

Here is the regional breakdown from our poll last week:

These KEY Swing Ridings will determine the election

Candice Malcolm — Fri, 28 Mar 2025 20:02:16 GMT

This federal election is the most significant election of our lifetime – and it will be incredibly close.

Almost every poll conducted over the past two weeks – including the ones we’ve conducted through our in-house pollster David Murray from ONE Persuasion Inc. – show the Mark Carney Liberals with a slight edge.

EXCLUSIVE POLL: Signs of a Liberal Mirage

Candice Malcolm — Thu, 27 Mar 2025 22:01:35 GMT

Since our last poll, top line numbers have remained within margin of error. Carney’s Liberals hold 41% support among decided voters, while Poilievre’s Conservatives sit at 35% according to a new poll commissioned by Juno News and conducted by ONE Persuasion.

Polls show that Mark Carney has PEAKED

Candice Malcolm — Tue, 25 Mar 2025 17:55:57 GMT

Prime Minister Mark Carney seems to have captured the imagination of left-wing Canadians, and last week we saw the total COLLAPSE of the NDP as many began throwing their support behind the new Liberal Leader.

But was that just a mirage?

The latest polls — as well as betting markets — are starting to show that Carney has PEAKED and is now starting to DEC…

EXCLUSIVE POLL: Peak Carney?

Candice Malcolm — Sun, 23 Mar 2025 16:44:07 GMT

#BREAKING: Mark Carney visited the Governor General on Sunday at noon and has called a snap election set for April 28th.

Juno News will be there throughout the campaign to provide trusted and fact-based news, honest and hard-hitting opinion, provocative and compelling videos and podcasts, and exclusive polling.

Independent journalism is more important than ever, and this will be the most important election of our lifetimes.

To kick off the campaign, Juno News has commissioned a poll — exclusive to our paid subscribers.

EXCLUSIVE POLL: Peak Carney?

New Juno News Poll shows Carney’s Liberals leading, but running out of room to grow

EXCLUSIVE POLL: Liberals and Conservatives neck and neck

Candice Malcolm — Mon, 17 Mar 2025 01:00:52 GMT

Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives hold 37% support among decided voters, while Mark Carney's Liberals sit at 35% according to a new poll commissioned by Juno News and conducted by ONE Persuasion.